Prediction markets are hot right now, but they often have a terrible UI for crypto natives.
Enter: Jupiter Prediction Markets
The user interface here is incredibly smooth and easy to understand.
Today, I'll pick two predictions and explain why. Let's dive in:
Vice Presidents often run for office, particularly from the party with a sitting president.
Since 1975:
- Two-term presidents: 4 (Reagan, Clinton, Bush, Obama)
- Vice Presidents who ran for President: 3 out of 4 (Bush, Gore, Biden)
This results in a 75% success rate.
Notably, Cheney had significant health issues, historically low approval ratings due to the Iraq War, and repeatedly expressed zero interest in running. If you exclude him, the success rate rises to 100%.
Playing market sentiment here, but here is my take:
1. Liquidity rotation into BTC or safer crypto, especially during rotational markets.
2. Rate cuts being delayed.
3. Inflation continuing to rise.
4. Weak support around 2900-2750, with stronger support at 2400-2500.
5. SOL attracting retail investors and chipping away at ETH DeFi volume.
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