I've been playing around with predictions markets pretty heavily the last few weeks. Honestly, I'm surprised at the actual "edge" available trading these markets if you do a bit of research. I closed this position in good profit simply by reading about UNI's proposal > vote > resolution process for the fee switch proposal (something that 99% of people won't do). I'm switching over to @Kalshi now because the UX on poly has been horrendous (dropped txns etc), but am keen to bring a lot more predictooor content to the timeline. If you're not stupid/have a good understanding of a niche field this might actually be one of the more asymmetric places to actually make money rn. Consider me converted.